Prediction Markets Quant

Measured conclusion: Deep-tested. L2 outcome: tools_ok.

Free, no key: NFL prop board, Kalshi vs Polymarket gaps, 15-min crypto, Fed odds, NHL, EV/Kelly.

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Copy this into your MCP client config:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "Prediction Markets Quant": {
      "url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=registry",
      "transport": "streamable-http"
    }
  }
}

Measured tools (39)

• fed_rate_odds read-only

  Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures, with the gap in pp.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• calculate_ev read-only

  Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.

  Parameters:

  • marketPrice — ['number', 'string'] — Current contract price in cents (1–99), equal to the implied probability in %. Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
  • yourProbability — ['number', 'string'] — Your own estimate of the true probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Required for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• kelly_size read-only

  Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".

  Parameters:

  • winProbability (required) — ['number', 'string'] — Your probability the contract resolves YES, in % (0–100). Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
  • marketPrice (required) — ['number', 'string'] — Contract price in cents (1–99). Sets the payout ratio. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
  • bankroll — ['number', 'string'] — Total bankroll in dollars (e.g. 1000). Optional — omit it and the result is the % of bankroll to stake, without a dollar figure.
  • fraction — Kelly fraction to apply. Half-Kelly is the common sharp-money default. One of: full · half · quarter · eighth.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• bayes_update read-only

  Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".

  Parameters:

  • prior — ['number', 'string'] — Prior probability the hypothesis is true, in % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
  • evidence — array — One or more evidence items, applied in order. Each item needs likelihoodIfTrue and likelihoodIfFalse on the 0–100 scale, e.g. [{ "likelihoodIfTrue": 80, "likelihoodIfFalse": 20 }].

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• convert_probability read-only

  Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".

  Parameters:

  • value — ['number', 'string'] — The numeric value to convert. Needed for a real answer, with format.
  • format — Format of `value`: probability (0–100 %), american (e.g. -200 / +150), or decimal (e.g. 2.5). One of: probability · american · decimal.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• base_rate_gap read-only

  Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.

  Parameters:

  • baseRateId — Known base-rate id to look up (includes sample size + source).
  • marketPrice — ['number', 'string'] — Current market price in cents / implied probability % (0–100). Needed for a real answer. Accepts 55, "55%", "55¢", "$0.55", 0.55 or American odds (+120 / -150) — all read as 55%.
  • baseRateValue — number — Your own base rate in % (0–100), used when no baseRateId is given.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• combo_edge read-only

  Use for "price a same-game NFL combo" and "is this combo worth it". Pass nflGame ("NYG-LAR", "Giants vs Rams") to list that game's Kalshi legs — moneyline, spreads, totals, player props — then legIds to price your pick with the correlation done for you. Or pass legPrices + trueWinProbability for a fair band; add offeredOdds for EV and a verdict. Free.

  Parameters:

  • kind — With nflGame: "game" = all game lines, "prop" = props only. One of: game · prop.
  • stat — string — With nflGame: props of one stat (e.g. "rec_yds").
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — With nflGame: max props listed (default 40, max 200).
  • legIds — 2–6 leg ids from a previous nflGame call (array or comma-separated string).
  • player — string — With nflGame: every strike for a player whose name contains this (e.g. "Mariota").
  • nflGame — string — An NFL game on the live board, as "AWAY-HOME" (e.g. "NYG-LAR"). Alone: lists its legs with ids, trimmed (narrow with player/stat/kind/limit). With legIds: prices that exact combo.
  • legPrices — array — Each leg's YES price in cents (1–99). Omit with nflGame + legIds.
  • offeredOdds — number — The combo price you are quoted — American odds (-150, 988) or a decimal multiplier (10.7). Omit for fair value only.
  • offeredAmerican — number — Alias for offeredOdds; offeredOdds wins if both are sent.
  • trueWinProbability — number — Your estimate that all legs hit, in % (0–100). Omit with nflGame + legIds — we compute it.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• nfl_power_ratings read-only

  The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. Use for "best NFL teams by power rating", "NFL power rankings 2026", "is Baltimore overrated", "how good is Kansas City", "NFL team ratings".

  Parameters:

  • team — string — Optional team abbreviation (e.g. "KC", "SF", "LAR") — returns just that team's rating + rank.
  • tier — string — Optional tier: Elite (PWR ≥+7), Contender (≥+4), Playoff (≥+1), Average (≥−2), Below Avg (≥−5), Rebuild (<−5).
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max teams to return, best rating first (default 32 = full board).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• nfl_win_probability read-only

  Use for "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers" and "what does a -7 spread mean". Pass homeTeam + awayTeam (or game, or one team) for our QB-gated model line (raw power ratings if unscheduled), or a spread (home favored negative). Returns win, cover and over/under probability, the projected score and our own total; neutral-site games get no home edge.

  Parameters:

  • game — string — Or name the game in one string — "Bills vs Chiefs", "BUF@KC", "Buffalo at Kansas City". The schedule decides which side is home.
  • total — number — Game total (over/under) you want tested, not our projection; defaults to the league average. Ours comes back as `model_total`.
  • spread — number — Point spread from the home team's perspective — home favored is NEGATIVE (e.g. -6.5). Provide this OR homeTeam+awayTeam.
  • awayTeam — string — Away team — same formats as homeTeam (SF, 49ers, San Francisco 49ers). Used with homeTeam.
  • homeTeam — string — Home team — abbrev (KC), nickname (Chiefs), full name (Kansas City Chiefs) or city (Kansas City) all work. Auto-derives the spread from PMP power ratings.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• find_arbitrage read-only

  Use for "where is the arbitrage" and "Kalshi vs Polymarket price gaps". Cross-venue gaps on the same NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB game: Kalshi against Polymarket US (the exchange US traders use, fees included), Polymarket international as a reference. Gap in pp, WATCH/ARB signal, cheaper venue, settlement_match; near misses when nothing clears. Free: the top 3 gaps in full; Pro returns the whole board.

  Parameters:

  • minGap — ['number', 'string'] — Minimum gap in percentage points to include (default 3 = WATCH threshold).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• market_pulse read-only

  The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off".

  Parameters:

  • topic — macro = the US macro-health composite (the only topic). One of: macro.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• commodity_edge read-only

  Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a watchlist. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

  Parameters:

  • tickers — array — Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25), market or event tickers. Unmodeled tickers return not_covered.
  • commodity — Which commodity edge to read (needed for a real answer). One of: silver · bitcoin · gold · oil.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• edge_alerts read-only

  Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.

  Parameters:

  • feed — string — Comma-separated feeds to include: weather, bitcoin, silver, gold, oil, mispricing, sports_arb, nfl. Omit for all.
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max alerts to return (default 25).
  • since — string — ISO-8601 timestamp — only alerts created after it.
  • min_tier — Minimum confidence tier (returns that tier and above). One of: SPECULATIVE · MODERATE · STRONG.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nfl_edge read-only

  Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi" and "NFL win total, MVP or Super Bowl edges". Our NFL model vs live Kalshi prices — this week's game positions, season win totals, MVP and championship odds: model probability, price, edge and side. tickers[] checks a watchlist (futures, mvp, championship). Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

  Parameters:

  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 10).
  • market — game = this week; futures = win totals; mvp; championship = playoffs to Super Bowl. One of: game · futures · mvp · championship.
  • minEdge — ['number', 'string'] — Min |edge| in pp (default 4), futures/mvp/championship only.
  • tickers — array — Optional Kalshi ticker watchlist (up to 25), market or event tickers. Unmodeled tickers return not_covered.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nfl_prop_edge read-only

  Use for "best NFL props today" and "receiving yards prop value". Our projection vs the Kalshi "X or more" prop line: the contract, the YES/NO call, our odds and Kalshi's price for that side, the projection and the edge, with WATCH rows labelled. Live in season. Pro — sign in with PredictionMarketsPicks, or a Pro API key.

  Parameters:

  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 10).
  • minEdge — ['number', 'string'] — Min absolute edge in pp (default 5).
  • propType — Optional filter by prop type. One of: pass_yds · pass_tds · rush_yds · rec_yds · receptions · anytime_td.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nhl_edge read-only

  Use for "NHL predictions tonight" and "Stanley Cup odds". Tonight's NHL games on Kalshi — moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets — as Market · Model · Fair, starting goalies checked first. market=goals: anytime and first-goal contracts; market=futures: Cup, conference and division markets on Kalshi and Polymarket (international book) vs a 10,000-season sim. Free.

  Parameters:

  • team — string — Optional NHL club to filter — code (CAR, EDM, LAK), Kalshi code (LA, TB), nickname ("Oilers") or city ("Edmonton").
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 16).
  • market — game = tonight's board; goals = player goals; futures = Stanley Cup and season markets. One of: game · goals · futures.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nfl_prop_board read-only

  Use for "where is the best price on <player> receiving yards" and "is Kalshi cheaper than the books". Best price on every NFL prop this week: Kalshi (fee included) vs five books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN) and the Novig and ProphetX exchanges — the best price per side, how much cheaper Kalshi is than the books, the consensus gap, and the Kalshi close once a strike settles. Filter by team, game, player or stat.

  Parameters:

  • game — string — Game anchor away-home, e.g. "ne-sea" — rows for that game only.
  • team — string — Team abbrev (SEA, NE, LAR, JAX) — rows for that club only.
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 15).
  • player — string — Player name (partial, case-insensitive), e.g. "Nacua".
  • gapsOnly — boolean — Only strikes where Kalshi and the consensus are 5¢+ apart (default false).
  • position — Optional position filter. One of: QB · RB · WR · TE.
  • statType — Optional prop type filter. One of: pass_yds · pass_tds · rush_yds · rec_yds · receptions · anytime_td.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nba_prop_board read-only

  Use for "where is LeBron's points line cheapest tonight". Every Kalshi NBA player-prop strike (points, rebounds, assists, threes) beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same strike: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

  Parameters:

  • game — string — Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ DET".
  • team — string — Team code or name (LAL, Lakers).
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 15).
  • player — string — Player name (partial).
  • statType — Optional stat. One of: pts · reb · ast · threes.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nba_game_board read-only

  Use for "Knicks moneyline on Kalshi vs the books" and "cheapest place for the Celtics spread tonight". Kalshi NBA moneyline, spread and total beside DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, ESPN, Novig and ProphetX at the same line: the cheapest venue per side, Kalshi fee included. Market prices only, no model.

  Parameters:

  • game — string — Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ DET".
  • team — string — Team code or name (NYK, Knicks).
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max games (default 5).
  • market — Optional market. One of: moneyline · spread · total.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nba_injury_impact read-only

  Use for "Embiid's out tonight — who benefits?" and "who's out in the NBA today". Today's NBA absences from the official injury report, and for each absent star the teammates whose minutes, points, rebounds, assists and usage rose in past games without him (last two seasons, sample size on every row), beside today's Kalshi prop prices. Questionable players fork into plays/sits branches until ruled. Historical splits only, no projection.

  Parameters:

  • game — string — Two teams, e.g. "BOS @ NYK".
  • stat — Stat to rank beneficiaries by (default points). One of: pts · reb · ast · min · usg · fg3m · stl · blk.
  • team — string — Team code or name (PHI, Sixers).
  • player — string — The absent player, or a teammate to look up (partial name).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• nfl_ladder read-only

  Use for "where does the model disagree with Kalshi on the Rams spread" and "biggest ladder gaps this week". Every NFL strike ladder — spreads, season win totals, player props — with Kalshi's price at each strike beside our distribution and a SHAPE / LOCATION / PRICED / PARTIAL verdict. Our number is published only between 30% and 70%.

  Parameters:

  • kind — Verdict filter. One of: shape · location · agree · partial.
  • team — string — Team abbrev (SEA, LAR, JAX) — ladders involving that club.
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max ladders (default 8).
  • family — Ladder family. Omit for all three. One of: spread · season_wins · props.
  • player — string — Player name (partial, case-insensitive) — prop ladders only.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• ladder_arb read-only

  Use for "is any CFB ladder mispriced" and "where can I make a market on Kalshi". Kalshi college football and NFL spread/total strikes priced out of order: locked arbitrage, crossed-mid inversions and wide books worth making a market in, with both tickers and books, gross edge, volume and tier. Pro adds the resting orders, net-of-fee edge and quarter-Kelly size.

  Parameters:

  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 20, max 100).
  • sport — cfb · nfl · both (default both).
  • signal — locked · inverted · wide · all (default all).
  • min_edge — ['number', 'string'] — Minimum NET edge in cents (default 1). Accepts 2, "2c", "2".
  • min_volume — ['number', 'string'] — Minimum per-leg volume in dollars (default 20000). Accepts 20000, "$20,000".

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• fifteen_min_board read-only

  Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on Polymarket international for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP; and our live Bitcoin top-of-hour strategy with its record.

  Parameters:

  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 30).
  • series — string — One series: ticker (KXETH15M) or asset ("eth", "gold", "euro").
  • open_only — boolean — Only series with a window open right now (default false).
  • asset_class — crypto · commodity · currency · all (default all).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• weather_board read-only

  Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.

  Parameters:

  • day — today · tomorrow · all (default).
  • city — string — City name or series ("nyc", "KXHIGHTBOS"). Omit for all.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• track_record read-only

  Use for "how accurate is your model" and "what's your track record". Every graded PredictionMarketsPicks signal per engine (bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, NHL) and the daily editorial call (POTD): W-L, net P/L, a 95% win-rate range and the current model era, and the NFL model's 2026 live record (published game positions and prop PLAYs) beside its backtest. WATCH calls are reported apart.

  Parameters:

  • lane — string — Optional lane: bitcoin, gold, silver, oil, weather, nhl, potd, nfl — or an engine slug. Omit for every lane.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• my_league read-only

  Use for "show my fantasy team" and "what is Kalshi pricing my starters at". Give a Sleeper username (and a league name if you have several): your roster, each starter's opponent and kickoff, OUT and QB-gate flags, and every Kalshi prop strike on him this week with the best price per side. Market data; Pro adds our weekly projection.

  Parameters:

  • league — string — League name (partial) or Sleeper league id, when the user is in several.
  • sleeper_username — string — Sleeper username (profile → username, not the display name).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• start_sit read-only

  Use for "should I start Nacua or Adams" and "who does the market like more this week". For 2–4 players: the median Kalshi is pricing for each stat (read off his own strike ladder) and his anytime-TD price, compared on the stats they share. Market prices only — the call stays yours; Pro adds our weekly projection.

  Parameters:

  • players — Two to four player names, e.g. ["Puka Nacua", "Davante Adams"] or "Nacua, Adams".

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• waiver_targets read-only

  Use for "who is everyone adding off waivers" and "trending waiver adds this week". Sleeper's most-added players in the last 24 hours with what Kalshi is pricing each at this week; pass position, and a Sleeper username + league to see only players still available. Market data only.

  Parameters:

  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max players (default 10).
  • league — string — League name (partial) or id, when the user is in several.
  • position — Optional position filter. One of: QB · RB · WR · TE.
  • sleeper_username — string — Sleeper username — with it, players already rostered in your league are left out.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• perps_board read-only

  Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one.

  Parameters:

  • asset — string — One perp: symbol or name ("btc", "gold", "XAG").
  • limit — ['number', 'string', 'null'] — Max rows (default 25).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• perp_liquidation read-only

  Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows the exact one. Assets: btc, eth, sol, xrp, doge, hype, link, gold, silver, platinum, palladium. Free.

  Parameters:

  • side — Direction. One of: long · short.
  • asset — The perp.
  • entry — ['number', 'string'] — Entry price (default: the live price).
  • margin — ['number', 'string'] — Margin in dollars (default 1000).
  • leverage — ['number', 'string'] — Leverage, e.g. 5 or "5x". Capped at Kalshi’s maximum for the size and side.
  • hold_days — number — Days held, for the funding estimate (default 7).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• senate_map read-only

  Use for "2026 Senate map" and "which Senate seats are toss-ups". Every 2026 Senate seat: holder and role, structure rating, forecaster bands where tracked, and the live Kalshi price (Democrat win probability where provable), closest race first, with a page URL per seat. Prices are never estimated — an unpriced seat returns null.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• race_odds read-only

  Use for "who wins the Kansas Senate race" and "Michigan governor odds". Live Kalshi odds for one 2026 Senate, governor or competitive House race, by state, code, slug or district ("TX-34"): every leg's price, volume and link, the seat holder and rating, forecaster bands, and the race page. Prices are never estimated.

  Parameters:

  • race (required) — string — State name or code, a race slug (kansas-senate, michigan-governor, tx-34-house), or a House district (TX-34).

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• best_price read-only

  Use for "where is it cheapest to buy", "Kalshi or Polymarket US for the Bears game" and "cheapest venue for the Georgia Senate race". The same contract on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Novig as the cost to buy one contract including each venue's taker fee, with the cheapest named. Sports games (team, league or matchup), 2026 midterm races (state, slug or district) or the next FOMC meeting. Ranked by price only.

  Parameters:

  • q — string — Free text: a team, matchup, race or "next Fed meeting".
  • race — string — A 2026 race: state, slug (georgia-senate) or district (AZ-01).
  • teams — string — One or two teams, e.g. "Bears" or "NE @ CHI".
  • league — string — NBA, NHL, NFL or MLB.
  • meeting — string — Any value asks for the next FOMC meeting.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world yes

• player_outlook read-only

  One NFL player this week — every Kalshi prop line, the best price across venues, and our probability at each strike. Free. Use for "is <player> a good play this week", "<player> props".

  Parameters:

  • player — string — Player name, full or partial (e.g. "Puka Nacua", "Bijan").
  • scoring — Scoring format: standard, half_ppr (default), or ppr (full PPR). Overrides a platform preset. Works for Yahoo/ESPN/Sleeper defaults. One of: standard · half_ppr · ppr.
  • platform — League platform — applies its default scoring, size, roster + best-ball settings (overridable by explicit scoring/teams). Underdog/DraftKings are best ball. One of: yahoo · espn · sleeper · nfl · cbs · fantrax · draftkings · underdog.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• explain_player read-only

  Why our model prices an NFL player's Kalshi prop strikes where it does this week: the projection, The Ladder's verdict, the widest published gap, and what the model does not account for (our number only where calibrated, 30–70%). Use for "why do you price <player> there", "explain <player>'s prop".

  Parameters:

  • stat — string — Optional stat to narrow to, e.g. "rec_yds", "receptions", "rush_yds".
  • player — string — Player name, full or partial (e.g. "Puka Nacua").

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• explain_game read-only

  Why our model prices one NFL game where it does: Kalshi price and market line, our win probability and its anchor, the model's lean in points, each team's offense/defense/special-teams rating, the QB gate, and the published position or why none. Use for "why do you price <team> vs <team> there", "explain the <team> game line".

  Parameters:

  • game — string — The matchup — two teams in any form ("Bills vs Chiefs", "BUF@KC", "Buffalo at Kansas City"), or one team for its game that week.
  • week — ['number', 'string'] — Optional NFL week (e.g. 6). Defaults to the current week.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• explain_prop read-only

  Why we publish a call on one NFL player prop this week: the contract, the YES/NO call and Kalshi's price, our tier (and calibrated odds where measured), our projection vs the threshold, published or held at WATCH and why, and what the model does not account for. Use for "why do you like <player>'s over", "explain the <player> prop".

  Parameters:

  • line — ['number', 'string'] — Optional contract threshold or line (e.g. 60 or 59.5) to pick one strike.
  • stat — string — Optional stat, e.g. "rec_yds", "receptions", "rush_yds", "pass_tds" or "receiving yards". Defaults to the player's strongest published call.
  • player — string — Player name, full or partial (e.g. "Josh Allen").

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• explain_ladder read-only

  Why The Ladder reads one NFL strike ladder (a game spread, a season win total or a player prop) the way it does: the read in words, where Kalshi's ladder centres beside our projection, the widest published gap, and each strike with Kalshi's price and our number (30–70% only). Use for "explain the Chiefs win total ladder", "why does the ladder lean Browns".

  Parameters:

  • stat — string — Prop stat for a player, e.g. "receptions" or "rec_yds". Defaults to his widest ladder.
  • team — string — Team code or nickname (KC, Chiefs) — its game spread ladder, or its season-win ladder with family "season_wins".
  • family — Ladder family. Omit to take the team's spread first. One of: spread · season_wins · props.
  • player — string — Player name, full or partial — his prop ladder.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

• sleepers_and_busts read-only

  Every NFL player whose Kalshi prop price our model disagrees with this week, ranked, marked underpriced or overpriced with the stat driving it. Free, the complete list. The strike, price and size are in Pro nfl_prop_edge. Use for "undervalued players this week", "who is the market overpricing", "sleepers this week", "busts to avoid this week".

  Parameters:

  • position — Optional position filter. One of: QB · RB · WR · TE.

  Hints: read-only yes · destructive no · idempotent not declared · open-world no

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